This material was wrongly posted. So I have shifted it here.
steve Owens January 13, 2025 at 11:14 am
Why do I respond? It’s hard not to respond when you put up people who say the mayor left town during the fire season. When I look up Californian fire season, the information I get is that it generally starts in May and ends in October. This is not fire season, he has lived in California all his life, but he chooses to lie.
He says that Newsom has mismanaged the water resource particularly the Klamath river. The Klamath River starts in Oregon and meets the sea at Klamath just south of the Oregon/Californian border. Klamath is about 500miles from LA. How on earth is Newsom’s policy about the Klamath river relevant other than for Victor to hoodwink the ignorant.
Patrick Muldowney January 13, 2025 at 11:48 am
Correction: Hanson did say at one point ‘at fire season’ but I missed it. I will accept that he as a local understands like the weather people that were warning about what was coming that this was a dangerous fire season.
*************
Hanson did not say anything about ‘fire season’ he spoke about the known and warned about danger from the winds! That is true and she would have stayed home if she had really understood the danger that others were talking about. But like you with the looming war resumption in Ukraine in 2022 nothing was able to cause you to doubt yourself.
And Hanson pointed out that Newsom blew up Dams! The water flows down the canals that are in place! Only 500miles.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Goldfields_Water_Supply_Scheme
The scheme consisted of three key elements – the Mundaring Weir, which dammed the Helena River in the Darling Scarp creating the Helena River Reservoir; a 760 millimetres (30 in) diameter steel pipe which ran from the dam to Kalgoorlie 530 kilometres (330 mi) away; and a series of eight pumping stations and two small holding dams to control pressures and to lift the water over the Darling Scarp. Back in 1896!
But this 500 mile distance 805kl is supposed to be an issue for 21st century Californians! Sure. Or are greens at fault for getting in the way of water supply projects. Of course he has mismanaged the water issue. Greens always mismanage water. ‘Even the dams we have won’t get filled’ said Flannery. Giant floods later the foolishness of this is overwhelming. Flannery was dead wrong and your green champion! A climate warming dope that your ABC put forth as the great expert!
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/california-fires-la-palisades-eaton-warnings-timeline/ the timeline is clear that relevant extreme warnings from weather people were not being taken as seriously as they had to be.
steve Owens January 13, 2025 at 12:05 pm
In the video at 3.09 He states that the mayor is absent at fire season.
Patrick Muldowney January 13, 2025 at 12:18 pm
A good take here
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MS8hA92Qs3s
Jan 11, 2025 #gavinnewsom #wildfire #climatechange
Los Angeles is burning, and it’s not just a natural disaster—it’s a catastrophic failure of leadership. Politicians like Gavin Newsom and Karen Bass have prioritized virtue signaling their luxury beliefs over practical governance, blindly cutting firefighting budgets, ignoring long-running water and forest management issues, and then blaming “climate change” as the real culprit. Meanwhile, DEI initiatives have entirely overshadowed actually getting the job done when it comes to hiring key civil servants. This isn’t just about wildfires—it’s about what happens when we elect talkers instead of doers. California’s leaders have repeatedly failed their citizens, leaving them to suffer the consequences. What will it take for voters to finally demand accountability?
Patrick Muldowney January 13, 2025 at 12:37 pm
See above I had already made the technical correction. The point was that there were warnings from the weather people and it was well reported.
but this is the old problem https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N-xvc2o4ezk
4 years ago!
Sep 22, 2020
The massive, deadly wildfires in America’s West are caused by climate change,” smirks California governor Gavin Newsom. In reality, bad forest management and excessive regulation are bigger causes.
“All of this catastrophizing around climate change is a huge distraction,” says Mike Shellenberger, an environmentalist once named a “Hero of the Environment” by Time Magazine.
“Climate change is real,” he says, but “it’s not the end of the world. It’s not our most serious environmental problem.”
California warmed 3 degrees over the last half-century, but Shellenberger notes: “You could’ve had this amount of warming and not had these fires. The reason we know that is because the forests that were well-managed have survived the megafires.”
Well managed forests like the one at Shaver Lake, California, maintained by Southern California Edison, have survived the blazes. In that forest, the utility company conducted “prescribed burns” to get rid of tinder that creates big out-of-control fires, and they created “fire breaks” — swaths of forest that are made sparse, so big fires die off when they hit them.
Patrick Muldowney January 13, 2025 at 12:50 pm
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EOqKKUxJL-g
Jan 11, 2025 Independent Outlook
Californians will be in shock for a long time over the vast firestorms in Los Angeles. We don’t yet know what ignited each fire. But Santa Ana winds are a regular, predictable, feature of regional weather. California environmentalism discourages clearing of public and private land, and stymies upgrades of water delivery systems. And Los Angeles recently trimmed back its firefighting budget by $18 million. “Climate change” is not the culprit.
Independent Outlook is the regular round-table conversation from the Independent Institute that provides timely insights and cutting-edge commentary on the most pressing issues of the day. It features Independent’s Dr. Graham Walker (President), Dr. Phillip Magness (Senior Fellow and the David J. Theroux Chair in Political Economy), and Lawrence McQuillan (Senior Fellow and Director of the Center on Entrepreneurial Innovation), and Kristian Fors (Research Fellow at the Independent Institute and Director of the California Golden Fleece® Awards).
The Independent Institute is a non-profit, non-partisan, public-policy research and educational organization that shapes ideas into profound and lasting impact through publications, conferences, and multi-media programs. Our mission is to boldly advance peaceful, prosperous, and free societies grounded in a commitment to human worth and dignity.
Patrick Muldowney January 13, 2025 at 1:41 pm
Instead of Lidzen this is the twaddle Steve is on about https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rWuHXN9Qaiw
it’s all so settled!
steve Owens January 13, 2025 at 5:45 pm
“Lindzen hypothesized that the Earth may act like an infrared iris. A sea surface temperature increase in the tropics would result in reduced cirrus clouds and thus more infrared radiation leakage from Earth’s atmosphere. Additionally, rising temperatures would cause more extensive drying due to increased areas of atmospheric subsidence. This hypothesis suggests a negative feedback which would counter the effects of CO2 warming by lowering the climate sensitivity. Satellite data from CERES has led researchers investigating Lindzen’s theory to conclude that the Iris effect would instead warm the atmosphere. Lindzen disputed this, claiming that the negative feedback from high-level clouds was still larger than the weak positive feedback estimated by Lin et al.
Lindzen has expressed his concern over the validity of computer models used to predict future climate change. Lindzen said that predicted warming may be overestimated because of their handling of the climate system’s water vapor feedback. The feedback due to water vapor is a major factor in determining how much warming would be expected to occur with increased atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide, and all existing computer models assume positive feedback — that is, that as the climate warms, the amount of water vapour held in the atmosphere will increase, leading to further warming. By contrast, Lindzen believes that temperature increases will actually cause more extensive drying due to increased areas of atmospheric subsidence as a result of the Iris effect, nullifying future warming. This claim was criticized by climatologist Gavin Schmidt, Director of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies, who notes the more generally-accepted understanding of the effects of the Iris effect and cites empirical cases where large and relatively rapid changes in the climate such as El Niño events, the Ultra-Plinian eruption of Mount Pinatubo in 1991, and recent trends in global temperature and water vapor levels show that, as predicted in the generally-accepted view, water vapor increases as the temperature increases, and decreases as temperatures decrease.
Contrary to the IPCC’s assessment in 2001, Lindzen said that climate models are inadequate. Despite accepted errors in their models, e.g., treatment of clouds, modelers still thought their climate predictions were valid. Lindzen has stated that due to the non-linear effects of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, CO2 levels are now around 30% higher than pre-industrial levels but temperatures have responded by about 75% 0.6 °C (1.08 °F) of the expected value for a doubling of CO2. The IPCC (2007) estimates that the expected rise in temperature due to a doubling of CO2 to be about 3 °C (5.4 °F), ± 1.5°. Lindzen has given estimates of the Earth’s climate sensitivity to be 0.5 °C based on ERBE data. These estimates were criticized by Kevin E. Trenberth and others, and Lindzen accepted that his paper included “some stupid mistakes”. When interviewed, he said “It was just embarrassing”, and added that “The technical details of satellite measurements are really sort of grotesque.” Lindzen and Choi revised their paper and submitted it to PNAS. The four reviewers of the paper, two of whom had been selected by Lindzen, strongly criticized the paper and PNAS rejected it for publication. Lindzen and Choi then succeeded in getting a little known Korean journal to publish it as a 2011 paper. Andrew Dessler published a paper which found errors in Lindzen and Choi 2011, and concluded that the observations it had presented “are not in fundamental disagreement with mainstream climate models, nor do they provide evidence that clouds are causing climate change. Suggestions that significant revisions to mainstream climate science are required are therefore not supported.”
Now here we have an atmospheric physicist coming to a conclusion which is disputed by other scientists. I am happy to say I don’t know who is correct because I know shit all about atmospheric physics. I don’t understand why you have come to conclude that he is correct other than him being correct supports your position.
steve Owens January 13, 2025 at 6:53 pm Here are some “lies” from Governor Newsome
https://gavinnewsom.com/california-fire-facts/
Patrick Muldowney January 14, 2025 at 1:31 am
Yes he is lying and distorting it’s what he does! It’s what you do too!
Here is a perfect example of you doing the lying ; “It’s hard not to respond when you put up people who say the mayor left town during the fire season. When I look up Californian fire season, the information I get is that it generally starts in May and ends in October. This is not fire season, he has lived in California all his life, but he chooses to lie.’
So people have to have a look to see how Steve is getting this rot going. What is generally the case has nothing whatever to do with right now! They might be going through a drought I suspect they are but the people that notify Californians of their actual current ‘fire season’ said what??
‘Jan. 2–5
Five days before the first fire broke out, the National Weather Service warned on Thursday, Jan. 2, of potential for strong Santa Ana Winds and extreme fire conditions. The following day, they issued a Fire Weather Watch warning, alerting the public to the potential for damaging north to northeast winds.
AND
NWS Los Angeles
@NWSLosAngeles
A Fire Weather Watch is in effect Tuesday-Friday for portions of LA/Ventura Counties. There is the potential for damaging north to northeast winds, that are likely to peak Tuesday-Wednesday.
With no significant rainfall yet, fire season will continue in to the New Year! #CAwx
https://x.com/NWSLosAngeles/status/1875320550094147720?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1875320550094147720%7Ctwgr%5Efa081c9323cd691d1f3380a41503bebf61ba1d1c%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fcbs-news-data.github.io%2Fsocal-fire-timeline%2F
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/california-fires-la-palisades-eaton-warnings-timeline/ the timeline is clear that relevant extreme warnings from weather people were not being taken as seriously as they had to be. The fact is that Steve is who is lying about fire season as declared by those that do so over there!!
People with a Narcissistic personality do this as the bread and butter of their existence. They are not about solving problems so they make very poor researchers. Consider the activities of our own fruit loop on this very thread. Sarcasm drips, misdirection flows, bad faith engagement at every turn. Small wonder there’s never a ‘gold medal’ insight; but there is always a solid belief in the moral superiority of our own demented greenie.
Silence is resorted to if stumped; tiny concessions made but to no general purpose and climate rubbish is a perfect choice for this disorder. The Narcissistic types love this shallow anti this and that blather.
Patrick Muldowney January 14, 2025 at 2:22 am
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CCSp5e4HGR0
How familiar. Just like the Victorian fires all those years ago.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mMYvuY_MLMQ
Mabe a million… https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gfrHfqt1lKE there are less people dying!!
steve Owens January 14, 2025 at 8:07 am
It’s interesting to see that you have embarrassed global warming alarmism.
The fire season usually aligns with summer.
This current fire is in winter.
You and all the other alarmists now say that fire season is a year-round thing.
Governor Newsome has declared fire season to be year-round a position you apparently support. Well done, you have argued yourself into alarmism. If you don’t credit warming for your new position, I would love to know why you think peak fire season now includes winter.
https://www.wri.org/insights/los-angeles-fires-january-2025-explained
steve Owens January 14, 2025 at 11:12 am
Here’s a list of wildfires in California
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_California_wildfires
Notice that none occurred in January because January was not in the fire season but now it is and it is, big time.
How do you explain that the fire season has gone from 6 months to 12 months?
It beats me. There is just no plausible explanation.
Patrick Muldowney January 14, 2025 at 11:32 am
1. I don’t live in LA.
2. LA is a city built in a desert like environment subject to droughts a bit like Adelaide but it has very specific and well known huge wind conditions that predictably blow from the hills generated by the near desert!
3. There is a thing called The National Weather Service and it said
NWS Los Angeles
@NWSLosAngeles
A Fire Weather Watch is in effect Tuesday-Friday for portions of LA/Ventura Counties. There is the potential for damaging north to northeast winds, that are likely to peak Tuesday-Wednesday.
With no significant rainfall yet, fire season will continue in to the New Year! #CAwx
4. Nothing unusual about hot dry winds being a fire hazard condition in these situations.
5. A massive firestorm condition resulted.
6. Santa Ana winds are a regular, predictable, feature of regional weather and the fires that have resulted are not unprecedented but the risks are well understood and have been a feature of the region since before white settlement. That was why the relevant authority said that ‘ With no significant rainfall yet, fire season will continue into the New Year!’
7. Steve rather than learn from a local (the experienced right winger Hanson) now lies about this and does so pointlessly when this was NOT alarming but the NWS doing what one would expect and warning that a fire season was in such conditions extending. Nothing unusual. High winds in dry conditions are a hazard. Building in these conditions can be and is negatively affected by greenie policies that put people and their houses at greater risk.
8. These fires are happening in well understood recurrent conditions. That is a fire season and they -the NWS- said so.
9. I am not saying anything about a year round anything but simply reporting the truth about the real actual fire season and not being misleading like Steve and talking about what is usual. Actually these conditions are very common and were in the ‘unsettled states’ an even more regular event from this ‘season’ of potentials.
10. Modern humanity has not correctly addressed the revealed problems of living in such conditions but more that one old local knew what to do and saved his house and a couple of his neighbors.
Democracy Now did not put him on and damp down the alarmism but put on a green alarmist talking hysterical rubbish.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CCSp5e4HGR0
the comparison is stark.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mMYvuY_MLMQ
Steve is pushing the later rot and is incapable of learning from the former who demonstrated what policies really work. He now carries on with life untroubled but sure to go a step further with his preparation after thinking about what worked and what didn’t go so well etc.
Patrick Muldowney January 14, 2025 at 12:24 pm
https://www.bing.com/videos/riverview/relatedvideo?q=LA+fires+1962&mid=883DFB37C5BA74212336883DFB37C5BA74212336&FORM=VIRE far more interesting than greenie rubbish from Democracy Never!
steve Owens January 14, 2025 at 9:12 pm
The Bel Aire video was interesting. It showed that even when the Fire Brigade was 100% white male it was still a massive struggle. Being 100% white male did lead to legal issues as people took the fire brigade to court protesting that they were actively discriminating against people who were both of merit and of color. Thats why the Dept. had to embrace a DEI policy, not some woke vision.
The other point Hanson made as Trump and you have made is that they could divert water 500 miles from the Klamath River. They won’t do this not as Hanson says because of the Smelt fish but because they don’t need to. There is plenty of water much closer to LA in fact as we have all seen in the movies the LA river was converted into a drain and allows LA’s original water source to run out to sea.
Here is a presentation made several years ago during drought either the drought of 2011-2017 or the drought of 2020-2022
https://viterbi.usc.edu/water/
steve Owens January 14, 2025 at 11:00 pm
This guy gives a really good summation. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VBx0oD5ULs0
steve Owens January 17, 2025 at 10:08 am
There has been plenty of criticism of the LA mayor and yes being a mayor and being in Africa at a time of natural disaster is a bad look but when this happened to Scomo he correctly pointed out that he doesn’t hold a hose. He and the LA mayor are administrators and are not involved in the day to day running. Should she resign because of this, probably she should.
The other criticism of her is that she cut the LAFD budget and yes that is correct, but California went from surplus to deficit and cuts had to be made and these cuts involved non coal face workers and a reduction in overtime payments. The total budget for the LAFD ended up as $895.6 million. In the article I’m linking to there’s a comment about the nature of the fire being so ferocious that 1000 fire truck would not have held it.
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/1/15/what-to-know-about-the-la-fire-departments-budget
steve Owens January 17, 2025 at 1:40 pm
I watched a couple of interesting things, one was your clip of the guy who defied the evacuation order stayed at his home fought the fire and saved his home. The other was the Netflix doco about the fire that destroyed Paradise a few years back. 85 people died in that town because they could not or would not evacuate.
It’s a hard decision to make to stay or go particularly in defiance of what the fire brigade are ordering.
steve Owens January 17, 2025 at 10:28 pm
“… 70 of the 84 fatalities listed in the Butte County District Attorney’s Camp Fire investigation summary occurred inside or immediately outside the victim’s residences, indicating that failure to evacuate contributed to many more deaths (70) than occurred while evacuating (8).”
steve Owens January 22, 2025 at 11:36 am
“Silence is resorted to if stumped…” That aged well
Steve Owens January 22, 2025 at 10:31 pm
Wow, the history of race relations in the LAFD is way more complex than I thought
https://www.lafire.com/black_ff/black.htm
Steve Owens January 22, 2025 at 11:36 pm
Obviously, fighting racism within the LAFD is still a live issue and right-wingers like Hanson would love to roll progress back
https://spectrumnews1.com/ca/southern-california/human-interest/2020/02/21/stentorians-keep-the-fire-burning-for-justice
And just a point on fire department spending Hanson claims that the LAFD budget was cut, but he doesn’t mention that later in the year funding was increased and that the 2024 budget was bigger than the 2023 budget or that when you add the LAFD budget to the LA County FD budget then California is spending over $2 billion pa on fire fighting in the city and the county.
Yeah, it’s typical right wing nonsense cherry-pick and ignore facts.
Post about LA fire here!
OK a bit of a recap. My position is that right wing loons are not the people to listen to because they just make stuff up for political gain.
1 After Paradise fires Trump stated that the solution was to rake the forests just as the Finish leader had told him they do in Finland. The Finish leader said he never made those comments.
2 Hanson went straight to the lack of water due to the save the Smelt campaign. Southern California does not lack for water. The Smelt fish are 500 miles away from LA and it is just an irrelevant smear.
3 Hanson went the budget cuts without reference to the fact that the LAFD budget for 2024 was increased
4 Musk went the DEI saying that DEI meant DIE but without any reference to the long history of racism within the LDFD which DEI attempts to address.
5 Schellenberger goes the mayor “She needed to stay and mobilise against the fires” without acknowledging that the mayor is not a day-to-day operational person but a policy person. Should she be in LA? Of course, she should be in LA. Would it have made any difference to the fires? No
6 Schellenberger argues that firefighting assets should have been prepositioned but the problem here is that firefighting assets were prepositioned as is the common practice of the LA fire fighters
Now where in these hacks’ commentary is acknowledgement that between the LAFD and the LA county FD California spends over $2 billion pa on firefighting services
The reality is LA had 2 years of good rain followed by one year of drought leaving LA with lots of dry vegetation coupled with winds of 100 mph nothing will stop this holocaust.
But yeah, make some cheap political points.
Oh I forgot, right wing loon Mel Gibson on the TV suggesting that the Democrats are burning LA to the ground so that they can rezone the land. Shout out to MTG who thought that the Paradise fire was caused by Jewish space lasers.
One of the lowest political moves comes from your new Republican pals who openly talk about holding back disaster relief funding for political purposes. Is there anything lower than threatening to block relief money so that you can get your debt ceiling through? California is the growth engine of the USA and it pays way more to the Federal government that it receives back. I see that New Orleans is having snow all cool and normal.
https://www.politico.com/news/2025/01/13/house-republicans-trump-wildfire-aid-00197766
“Silence is resorted to if stumped…” Are you sure you were talking about me?
‘The New Orleans area began digging out from the worst snowfall to hit the region in more than a century on Wednesday, with the euphoria of the once-in-a-lifetime storm melting away and feverish work pressing ahead to clear dangerously icy roads and reopen for business.
Tuesday’s storm left residents in near disbelief as the snow kept falling. Up to 10 inches were reported in New Orleans and Jefferson Parish, as well as 11.5 inches in Chalmette, leaving roofs, yards and vehicles buried.
It was the region’s first significant snowfall since December 2009, and the eventual totals rivaled a Valentine’s Day storm in 1895 as the biggest on record.’
*******************
So here we have an event that matches 1895 when the CO2 levels were not anywhere near what they are today. So on what side of the ledger does Steve propose to put this event?
Clearly he want’s to put it as income not as an expense! It may be time for Steve to learn about double entry bookkeeping. Anyone who has studied a bit of accounting can tell Steve that one has to credit ones debits and debit ones credits!
In slippery style (same as practiced by Steve) alarmists dumped global warming many years ago in favor of ‘climate change’ so that every event can be put to the same side of the argument. It’s been so effective that Steve has even forgotten that the whole rot of human produced CO2 production (and cow burps) heating up the planet in some fearful manner had to be abandoned when the models couldn’t predict the past!
Now we have a quite normal drought type condition in southern California and a very familiar wind event producing a catastrophe of a fire in areas that are more inhabited than in bygone periods like say 1962 with houses and their contents valued at perhaps 30 times the 1962 prices… But what do we get? Innovation in fire fighting? A criticism of bureaucrats lining their own pockets with good salaries and taking 6 trips abroad when they promised to take none? No. We get told that there are people like Mel Gibson sprouting rot, as if we didn’t know and this thread required such powerful exposure of the issues.
No Steve we don’t need that. What we ought to be discussing is a further development of the thinking engaged in when Australia was so badly let down by the ALP, bureaucrats, green and woke types.
Yes, I agree snow in New Orleans and drought in Southern California are not central to the issue that I raised. They are just interesting side events.
What is central is that you put up a clip of Victor Davis Hanson claiming that the fires have something to do with the Smelt fish. It is gob smakingly stupid but forms part of a pattern coming from the right. First you have Trump recommending that the forests be raked, then MTG saying the fires are caused by Jewish space lasers, then Hanson claiming that Newsom who Trump calls Newscum cares more about worms than people, then Musk claims that DEI means DIE and that people die because the LAFD has 3.5% women fire fighters then Schellenderger argues that they should preposition firefighting assets apparently unaware that prepositioning firefighting assets is standard practice in southern California. Then Mel Gibson on national television suggests that the Californian government may have lit the fires and then Trump canvasses the idea that disaster relief may be withheld unless Democrats vote for lifting the debt ceiling.
And you have nothing. You critisise me because I noted that it is snowing in New Orleans.
California is the 5th largest economy in the world and their politicians are easy targets for their largess. As I pointed out California spends over $2 billion per year on fire fighting in the LA area.
I am happy to engage in discussion about fire management in Australia. I am interested to know how woke is holding back forestry management woke being “…used to refer to awareness of social and political issues affecting African Americans,…”
This term dates back to pre-civil war where a youth movement opposed to slavery was called the “Wide Awakes” as opposed to another movement at the time called the “Know Nothings”
I’m happy to be called woke only the know nothings see it as an insult.
Before we go any further, I have a question.
The LAFD was a completely segregated organisation, there were 2 black fire stations, and the rest were white only with blacks being unable to progress up the hierarchy beyond Captain.
What measures do you think should have been taken to desegregate or was desegregation a bad idea?
And it came to pass in September 1956 that a bright star was seen in the heavens above Adelaide and what do you know a child was born. This event was noted in the US, Jackie Robinson rejoiced and threw down his bat – that he had till then been hitting other people’s balls with – and he retired from his labors! It was also recorded that the LAFD instantly scrapped its segregation policies in honor of the child, and it was written that even the hated Victorians held an Olympics to his glory, and some very unwise men introduced 3 TV stations to the great unwashed of Australia so that henceforth all manner of Loony Tunes could be gifted to the child and his many disciples.
Naturally there were those, among the followers and hangers on, who were Judas like in their dispositions, that became self evident dissemblers and frauds and who -of course- failed to notice that the ongoing struggle within the LAFD then continued for perhaps another 3 decades or so to in fact make rock solid in practice what had only become formal in policy all those years earlier. So that when the infant had attained the age of the first Christ Almighty at nail up time, much had actually been accomplished not least in California in the LAFD.
Indeed the world was a very different place even for those who promote the Coyote view that nothing ever changes even after they have run off a cliff.
Thirty years further on. the demented began to insist on their own personal pronouns and privileges; and that they -specifically the now retired loons- be shown due deference because only they knew what being a progressive was and with cancel culture as their preferred method of ‘opposing’ censorship – violence was done to not just the language but to all manner of statues and to deniers that dared to doubt the righteous who insisted that they knew what it meant to be woke both now and in the past. But they required DEI to get anywhere; and so a ‘special’ lunatic fringe of conservatives pronounced the end of arguments!
From that day forth it would be declared well known that nothing could turn into its opposite. And the approved speakers pronounced that a pseudoleft could not emerge to daily discredit their works, and the very notion that there had ever even been people that made any sense from such a direction. Yet indeed the once mighty left that prided itself on being able to think was no more!
Here endeth the lesson.
The following has minor corrections and edits from the original
patrickm February 17, 2009 at 10:05 pm
Sorry Steve but I can’t see those figures as anything other than meaningless. The fact that fuel reduction goes on in some places tells one nothing about who dies where and why.
The question is more about fleeing and /or sheltering out of reach of the flame front and the ability to defend structures under ember attack and then sheltering for the brief period of the fire front’s passage, and then promptly rejoining the fight to save the dwelling. Let me explain.
A good house will be solid against an ember attack but even a good house solid against an ember attack is going to burn to the ground if left to itself. People have to be able to defend their house. Younger populations are better at that. Australia has an ageing population. My bet is that older people and younger people will figure higher in the statistics as will women. My second bet is that few that died had training or real experience and the more training the less they will appear in the statistics.
I reckon that people who know they are on their own suffer far fewer delusions than people who watch ‘Elvis’ style toys (that the TV always focus on these days) and think that they are important and will come to the rescue. They are not important in any big fire and they won’t come. Essentially no one will.
The best house I saw built in a bushfire area was built by a fireman. It had a decking roof with heavily insulated raked ceilings, solid face brick inside and out slate floor lawns around it a brick fence back from that and then the drive way out front of that and a swimming pool in front ready to be pumped dry.
It was kept fire ready by a professional. It was easily defensible under the most extreme ember attack. It was back from the flame zone though his property even had a couple of acres of firewood lot plantings. This guy was infected with a ton of general green ideas, BUT not any delusions whatever about what fuel near houses meant.
He was also smart about making his house and its defensive perimeter ‘moist’ space. There was nothing high and dry anywhere near that could send a flame front directly onto the defenders who would have been protecting the house under the said intense ember attack. I would trust my family in such a dwelling and I bet that such a house is not where the 300 bodies will be located in this fire. No one in there right mind would flee from such a dwelling in any bush fire and take to the tree lined roads.
IMV over the last few decades people became infected with green philosophy without the professional knowledge that this man applied to his housing environment. You see stupidity and ignorance on the TV in every fire. People about without shoes and long pants and shirts and hats, trying to fight but just not dressed like the firemen that turn out! The answer is very simple dress like a fireman. Fight the fire like a fireman. Prepare the property like a fireman. Build the house and its defensive perimeter like a fireman. Maintain the house like a fireman. And like all the firemen in Victoria last weak survive like a fireman.
Firemen do not loose their life or their house in these situations; they loose their life because they sometime get caught in a strange place where something goes wrong.
The only way to work out what happened to these 300 people and the 2000 odd houses is one by one analysis. Then reflect on the philosophy of why the dwelling they died in was the way it was. Why they were fleeing on tree lined roads. What would a fireman have done differently that day and that weak prior as well as in the previous cool weather. Preparation is key at all levels!
People died because they were not ‘at war’ with fire last winter and they were caught by the enemy in a surprise attack.
Everybody knows the enemy will attack again. Those whose philosophy is sound will survive. Fires under these conditions can’t be last minute back burnt. The fuel just can’t be there in the first instance. Greens that spent there time in the cool putting more fuel near houses have to change their philosophy.
February 25, 2009 at 5:35 pm
Steve when you say ‘I just want to see the evidence that controlled burns are more effective than evacuation or fire proofing houses or bunkers or whatever strategy comes to the fore.’ I think you miss the real issues that confront us. I think your approach muddles everything together and makes it then impossible to sort out the resultant mess. The evidence that you sensibly seek will not be so easy to get hold of because every approach that is well founded and well executed in its practice will have worked, and every approach that had a flaw built in, or a flaw that emerges over time (things change) will have been or get found out at some point. Comparing apples for apples will always be the difficulty for you.
‘Fire proofing’ houses is only a cost question (though making things fool proof always remains out of reach because fools are so ingenious) but obviously the costs become exorbitant. Brand new houses are cheaper to build than retro fitting work etc. ‘Bunker’ retreats come in all manner of ways that will all work.
The real question is how do you build cost efficient housing that has a reasonable prospect of being defended after ten years of habitation when temperatures hit 47c and the wind is at gale force, and a fire has broken out 100 metres away to windward as the local electricity transformer exploded?
The truth is that if there is a high fuel load of unrestrained forest dimensions that house is history in very short order unless it has a massive automated fire suppression sprinkler system with some uninterrupted power source, and or ‘unlimited’ water available at high enough pressure.
If the house is surrounded by fifty meters of lawns and succulent ground covers and the like, and there is someone home who knows how to fight the fire and can respond in minutes (because the conditions had already brought on a stand to alert level of preparation with nothing around that can burn, gutters full of water, property already being hosed down etc) the conventional house could then be saved by a hand operated backpack of water sprayed on any ember attack problems that WILL develop.
That theoretical fire will go on to kill many other people but not anyone in that house.
On the other hand that house will probably / possibly burn down if the fire threat level was low enough that day to not cause the fire plan to be put in practice and everyone had instead gone out shopping.
Government can ensure that people provide themselves with a retreat / shelter / bunker that can’t be engulfed by fire and they can survive, and that requires that people keep all fuels away from the shelter! Hell even people that got caught on the roads during this last killer fire saved themselves by crawling into storm water culverts and waiting. Total devastation outside but survival under the road!
The well founded fire resistant designed house (that’s well maintained and well prepared and is being actively and knowledgeably defended from within is the best ‘shelter’ because the fire front must pass the house before that house could be lost and thereby force the occupants to seek the shelter of the already burnt areas outside. But even that situation can change somewhat if the houses are infernos on either side and they are ‘close’. (If they are close you are better off saving all the houses rather than over saving ‘your very well prepared house’ in the middle.)
Fighting a bush-fire is done as a series of fronts that attack the defenders and all of these fronts have possible flanking moves if the wind changes, and thus one front can rapidly turn into another. Obviously proximity to the neighbors fuel load is very important and has to form part of the ‘battle’ plan. But there must be an audited plan.
The length of time you can stay in the fight in front of the structure / s before staging a temporary retreat, and the quicker you can return to the fight after the flame front has passed is the key to winning the battle to save that structure / s and any lives that are associated.
This is not ‘rocket science’. Fire requires fuel, heat and oxygen; that’s it. Obviously fuel load is the one issue that can be controlled before the fire starts or even as it approaches. The ember attack that will come can be addressed. The flame front will then arrive but can be prevented from igniting the structures if the ‘stitch in time saves nine’ principle is followed and the fight quickly resumed with sufficient ‘weapons’.
Three areas of preparation are the keys to how well fire suppression can be achieved but remember with suppression ‘you have to be in it to win it’.
Fuel.
It is fuel load that literally enables the flame front to approach the defender and keeps that front going longer and harder when it arrives. If you have zero load all you have to ever deal with is ember attack. Ember attack is easily beatable if fought correctly but deadly to the home and the people in it if left alone by the fearful.
Fuel reduction keeps the fire fighter in front of the structure and in control, or if insufficient to do that enables a briefer retreat in the face of it.
Most fires are ‘easily’ beaten by moderately trained able bodied adults because they are not driven by strong winds so the flame front can be directly attacked and kept at bay (and because of the moderate wind conditions the heat, smoke and ember fronts are all minor annoyances to the defender rather than major threats in themselves).
Killer fires can’t be fought at the flame front.
Preparation of structures is a key issue.
Structure preparation ought to be appropriate to the season and the level of threat the day actually presents. Most fire plans are not on site ‘audited’ in any detail to start with; and or fully implemented on the day and most plans ‘fail’ under extreme test even when houses are saved with people losing cars etc.
Many people who are intending to fight actually remain passive as the killer day unfolds, all the way from the night before when steady ongoing work would yield very good results. If work takes you away from the house then the plan has to cope with this reality; who is going to be available to fight and on the very rare killer days when the wind is predicted, ought not work away from home be forgone in these types of regions?
Available fire fighters.
It’s their training and experience (always being adjusted for health and age factors) that counts. When the first super heated winds from the approaching fire hits, the fire fighter has to be dressed and ready and turning the hose on himself. The structure has been whetted down and only now you’re wetting everything else around you as the noise level gets really scary, but you’re still outside and you’re keeping your firefighting clothes wet and you’re thinking cool. Then the smoke hits, and you have to drop to your knee and sometimes lower and prepare to lift your mask that you’re already wearing around your neck and then move closer to the structure (while always keeping out of any radiant heat and planning your retreat).
Most attention is now reserved for the structure because next comes the embers that the fighter is there to fight in the first place, this is when it gets worse and worse and will definitely scare the crap out of people that have never been through it. It’s scary enough when you have been!
Only then, some variable time later, the flame front hits and at this point the fighter must retreat and be sheltered even if only on the lee side of the house just squirting water around the corner. BUT the front will pass quickly enough with that sort of wind driving it. (Always keeping in mind a front change from swirling winds and the all important situation with the neighbors fuel load proximity).
Fuel loads are the key. If they are low enough the fighter can stay close to the ground continuously suppressing embers until the flame front passes on the flanks. This long story is all about the relationship between fuel reduction and ember storms. It is vital to reduce fire intensity. After that initial ember fight has been fought and won the minor fires that are catching from the now passed deadly front can be put out if you have the weapons and the training or even in most cases just the will.
BTW yes ‘the Country Fire Service has first call on water.’ And they will probably use it the most efficiently if they come for it, but they are unlikely to save another person’s house with your water and then lose your house, so though it could happen I’m not concerned about that. They will not confiscate your bathtub full of water and or your hand operated back packs that ought to, in these conditions, be ready.
Anyway more of these issues will come up as this ‘fire’ is reflected on but it always turns into one fire after another analysis rather than one size fits all ‘because it was such a terrible day’.
Blaming the conditions is wrong from the start. The knowledge was around and the warnings were given. Those that really put enough effort into the totality of the problem won the fight when it inevitably came.
Meanwhile green philosophy is as guilty in leading people to an untimely death in this instance just as much as their DDT scare-mongering has been guilty of massive deaths from Malaria all around the world.
The fact that some of them advocate various levels of fuel reduction burning (like Flannery who had had the experience of losing a house to bush fire) is no excuse for not sheeting home the damage that this philosophy does across the whole spectrum of fire fighting issues. The philosophy has led to meddling in others lives with laws that restrict freedoms rather than expand them. These green ideas are enemy ideas for the left and as with the hysterics over carbon they do not stand up to a good fire. You will not find anyone immersed in green philosophy producing books that proclaim a Bright Future of abundance like Dave has. Instead when it comes to water and turning our houses into wetter environments by supplying ever cheaper water for example, the enemy philosophy seeks to hinder the work and advocates only planting natives that are suited to the particular dry summer climate.
I think the Royal Commision will not place enough focus ‘on green policies that lead to insufficient ground fuel burn off and that prevented people from clearing trees from around their houses.’
I agree ‘that greeny ideas are nutty and downright toxic’ and we should tear into them on every occasion and not let them slither away from their responsibilities.
The death toll is ‘a matter of failing to avoid their [fires] wrath.’ Standards ought to be improving but were not because people were misled en masse with green junk philosophy for decades, yet having for all these decades been wrong the leading spokespeople immediately covered their own culpability with endless twaddle about how it will all get worse if we don’t address climate change. They are wrong!
Communists need to focus working peoples attention on the immediate danger that green philosophy and politics is, not just to peoples livelihood, which is now clear with their incessant clamoring for carbon taxing and so forth, but also their actual lives, as it has always been in the third world and in strategic tyrannies, and now is demonstrated here in our advanced industrialized country with this death toll.
Devine and Bolt are clearly on the correct side of the ledger on yet another issue but they have to be hindered from claiming this pseudoleft phenomenon as anything to do with a left philosophy or politics.
The strange times we are living through must be more loudly proclaimed.
February 26, 2009 at 10:28 pm
Steve; my acquaintance ‘Jamo’ is in no way a fanatic. He is just an expert as a result of a lifetime of employment in the fire fighting business; he chose to live in a high risk area and built accordingly. Naturally it showed up in his design and fire plan. Everybody in these regions, are supposed to have a fire plan. His was being ‘audited’ by an expert. His had a lifetime of experience built into it and others can’t have that, but they can change their philosophy. Changing peoples faulty philosophy is what will save their lives.
You are right when you say ‘people are the victims of poor planning as much as bush fires.’ But killer fires are nothing new and surviving a worse case fire is what a plan ought to be based on in the first instance! Sure, spending money will save some people from the big fires when they hit, but changing people and empowering them will save a lot more. This society is breeding passive victims that the authorities then have to control and manage.
“Cast aside illusions; prepare yourself and other people for struggle” seams like the right approach to me. As for towns in the forests, I think they can be built and survive very bad fires but they can’t be built in the old greeny manner and survive. That argument is dead in my view.
You ask ‘how can fuel reduction be both cheap and expensive?’ The answer is that if one is going to do the bush as a whole and keep the environment in good shape then it will be expensive. But if you are just going to do it near structures then it will be cheaper. As for the rest, I really don’t think that tumbling around with very broad statistics will tell you much at all. There are far to many variables.
The key to understanding the issue IMV is mostly case by case analysis. In the end though the issue is about fire and how one prepares for and fights it and that is clearly a fuel question connected to a source of ignition in the presence of oxygen; that is the triangle that I was taught and it has stood me in good stead to always remove one of those to kill a fire.
Up until the mid 1950’s the LAFD was segregated with leadership that supported segregation. We all know the scenes of desegregation the governor of Arkansas mobilising the National guard to stop 9 children being escorted by the police past a racist mob. The resolution only coming when the president mobilises the 101st Airborne the legendary Screaming Eagles to get 9 children into school. The windows of the school boarded up to thwart snipers.
Now desegregation wasn’t this dramatic in LA but it did include black firemen arming themselves for self-defense. Segregation gave way to Jim Crow as official racism gave way to unofficial racism.
This wall of racism was countered by affirmative action as there clearly was no level playing field. The government adopted affirmative action which developed into Diversity, Equity and Inclusion. My question to you is do you stand with racism? What particularly about a policy of Diversity, Equity and Inclusion upsets you?
If you don’t support DEI what strategy to opposing racism do you support?
The racists opposed desegregation they opposed affirmative action and now they oppose DEI always hiding behind the banner of meritocracy. It’s an argument pushed by racists and useful idiots.
Victor Davis Hanson blames the LA fires on DEI Honestly Gobbles would have a hard time keeping up with this guy. Is the LAFD really undermined by DEI let’s look at the facts.
“Picture a typical firefighter. Who comes to mind? If you imagined a white man, that’s understandable: 96% of U.S. career firefighters are men, and 82% are white. This homogeneity is striking, especially when you compare it to the U.S. military, which is 85% men and 60% white, and local police forces, which are 88% men and 73% white.”
https://www.forbes.com/sites/conormurray/2025/01/09/elon-musk-and-more-right-wing-critics-blame-diversity-equity-and-inclusion-for-la-wildfires-with-little-evidence/
where did you dig your quote up from
“Picture a typical firefighter. Who comes to mind? If you imagined a white man, that’s understandable: 96% of U.S. career firefighters are men, and 82% are white. This homogeneity is striking, especially when you compare it to the U.S. military, which is 85% men and 60% white, and local police forces, which are 88% men and 73% white.”
Harvard Business Review 2018
https://hbr.org/2018/12/making-u-s-fire-departments-more-diverse-and-inclusive
I guess my question still stands what approach do you think the government should take to racism in the LAFD? If not DEI what?
Step 1 never let Corinne Bendersky train anyone!
‘…there is relatively equal representation of blacks throughout ranks of the LAFD” compared to the population of Los Angeles County, says LAFD Assistant Chief…’ so if that is the case what is this rot all about!
way back ‘In the mid-1990s, for example, the Stentorians created a promotion preparation program for its members…’
Everybody ought to know that fire fighters are in the same mold as Bondi Rescue surf life savers.
‘…my work conducting training on general diversity and inclusion with fire departments, I find that, when evaluating fit and competence, firefighters tend to default to a reductive set of traits (physical strength evaluated through strict fitness tests, for example) that serve to maintain white men’s dominance in the fire service.’
So black men are less athletic? Really or is that just rot! I want Firefighters picked in the same way as footballers and every other athlete. When you can no longer meet those standards you ought to get moved on!
DEI is Looking the wrong way!
‘In my forthcoming research with Felix Danbold, we find that reframing the professional prototype of what it means to be a firefighter to emphasize the importance of legitimate, stereotypically feminine traits, like compassion, has promising effects on creating a more inclusive environment for women.’
Let these people compete in wall framing and brick laying! Nothing is stopping them! People who work hard in these industries can make good money nothing is stopping any woman from showing just how good she is on a football field either!
If you read my material with some care you would realise that innovation IS required in the way this old enemy wild fire is dealt with. I will bet that new thinking for situations that produce such disastrous outcomes is now on the way into the Californian mainstream because the American people have a can do attitude.
Where were the innovators who will make a name for themselves? If women come up with the solutions so be it! I have no dog in that fight. I want progress in the outcomes not in who is being employed to produce this result.
In war-fighting you have just seen 3 years of dramatic innovation and we are standing before a new world. Perhaps the most dangerous foot slogger is now the 18 year old drone operator.
It will probably take several more years but democracy IS coming to Belarus and Russia and the west has a great interest in seeing the defeat of the Putin regime. The nuclear weapons of the former USSR now controlled by the tyrant Putin cannot be permitted to fall into the hands of a dozen or so war lords on the morning after a push and shove breakup of Russia.
The Russian economy is now wobbly and revolutionary democrats have no interests in stability for Putin.
Evidently the Biden gang feared Russia breaking up. Whatever Trump thought about this in the past he will be dealing with this in these 4 years.
The woke are finished!
The recruitment of women is not relevant because males make up 96% of the firefighters so the issue, we need to look at is race.
For argument’s sake let’s assume that currently the LAFD is completely integrated, and recruitment is racially blind.
We know that 70 years ago the LAFD was segregated and the Fire Chief was a supporter of segregation. We know that official segregation ended in the mid 50’s. We know that although the two black stations were integrated the black firefighters faced Jim Crow violence, threats and intimidation. We know that new black recruits found it extremely difficult to get through training and were often bounced out for bogus reasons. We can read articles that state that well into this century the LAFD was having difficulty recruiting and holding black officers.
So that is the history a very problematic history but here we are now 2025 and the problem has disappeared. Your problem is explaining how the problem disappeared. My explanation is quite simple.
1 The government outlawed segregation
2 The government commenced affirmative action
3 Black officers organised independently
4 Organisations and individuals took the department to court and sued them.
5 Affirmative Action was superseded by a policy of Diversity, Equity and Inclusion.
In discussing DEI I think it is necessary to have context. How good was the relationship between the black community and people employed by the state. Here is a clip of some LAPD officers interviewing a black man who had broken the law. Some people objected to this, and the officers went to trial only to be found not guilty by an all-white jury. Mr. King sustained 11 broken bones from the interaction. Of course, this was the early 1990’s well before DEI but I think context is important. What sort of problems does DEI address?
I think as you pointed out the police failed to use the correct pronoun.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lt7h398uADc&rco=1
This is a DEI definition
Diversity: The presence and participation of individuals with varying backgrounds and perspectives, including those who have been traditionally underrepresented
Equity: Equal access to opportunities and fair, just, and impartial treatment
Inclusion: A sense of belonging in an environment where all feel welcomed, accepted, and respected
Can you please point out to me which bit upsets you.
People will not win against bush fires there is no point in expecting people to defeat bushfires because for the vast majority of people it is an impossibility.
People cling to non-solutions like controlled burning or correct preparation or new methods of firefighting or if we could just stop the Greens. It’s all bullshit. People should draw the correct conclusions, but they won’t. The correct conclusion is that Malibu the most fire affected community in the USA should be abandoned and left to burn but it won’t be, it will be rebuilt just like after the last fire and the fire before that and the fire before that, regular devastating fire going back over 120 years
We contribute to the fuel load precisely because we put fires out. Go to the CFS website check out the areas affected by controlled burns they are miniscule by their very nature they must be small because a fire truck or 2 has to be able to control them.
We demand to have an urban/wild interface, drive through the hills only the rich have decent fire breaks between the bush and the home.
The answer is not to control fire or to fireproof the house the answer is to separate people from the combustible material, but we won’t do it. Google earth Pacific Palisades it has disaster written all over it, but people will just rebuild the government will help them rebuild and recreate a time bomb.
Insurance companies are smart, and they refused to extend many policies in LA. If the insurance company won’t insure your house, you must understand what that means.
Demolishing Steve Owens https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1MB7hx1vc_I
Wow who would think that the defeated mayoral candidate would find that responsibility lies with the mayor.
A real estate billionaire who doesn’t even mention the roll that real estate companies played in sardining people into these death trap neighborhoods.
Look you seem to have read nothing. I would start with this
https://longreads.com/2018/12/04/the-case-for-letting-malibu-burn/
I don’t think you can get good information from people who have a political axe to grind be they Presidents Governors Mayors failed mayoral candidates (or political hacks cough cough Victor Hanson the fish are to blame)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DtWk5AxTioY
This would be funny if it wasn’t so serious first the Smelt then DEI and now this.
https://www.politico.com/news/2025/02/06/trump-california-water-policy-farmers-00202751
This guy gets it.
https://x.com/RepTedLieu/status/1887596997856649563?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet
You should tell Victor Davis Hanson this. Shame on V.D Hanson
https://www.tiktok.com/@thetnholler/video/7468443320809803054