Archive for the '2020 US election' Category

Trump gone.

The nature of the 2 party dictatorships across the Anglo world is that luck plays a very big part. It has to be said that were it not for Covid19 Trump would have romped it in, but if my sister had balls…Covid19 was the only thing that stopped Trump from romping it in!

But now a divide and rule situation has arisen in the US.  Whatever was the situation prior to the Capital Hill fiasco, it no longer matters. Disunity is death, is one of the great working maxims to anchor our thinking when pondering what ‘next’ for the Trump show.

If Trump were to run in 2024 then the GOP would not be fit for purpose.  He is still very popular but he also unites the democrats and mobilises the woke.  The GOP is now his party and there is some buyer remorse over Biden who is so clearly suffering from a cognitive disorder that renders him unfit for the job.  The ‘liberal’ mass media are carrying him and it has reached joke level!

But the GOP is now in a state of disunity that’s way past the ‘normal’ bounds of parties being taken over by a different faction or swapping radically different leaders and taking a very different path as a result. It can’t revive with Trump and it probably can’t revive without him so he will have to play kingmaker for the GOP to get anywhere on this cycle -all things being equal and I suppose they won’t be.

If a credible ‘new leader’ were to emerge and Trump swung his supporters behind such a person then the GOP would be fully competitive. On the other hand, if Trump were to take on all comers in the primaries and wipe the floor with them to the point that the party had to put him forward against Harris then even though this election was close and he was well-positioned for another tilt in 2024 it would not now work!

In Australia, Howard was again made leader a ¼ century ago by the Liberal party for a good reason, and he became PM in drovers dog style simply because the voters were going to throw out Keating in 1996! Howard then did a good enough job to win a second term when he took an actual policy to the people in 1998 (and people knew that Keating had also wanted this policy anyway). But then fate stepped in and he became a wartime leader in 2001, (and there were difficult refugee issues) and finally, the people elected him again when the complexity of war got thrown on the table for his fourth electoral win in 2004.

But times up came along and ‘Kevin 07’ saw the end of Howard in a predictable and unavoidable exhaustion of Howard’s luck.

Anyway; Australians saw what a return of disunity meant from both sides when the Howard era ended! The country went through a farcical period of PM swapping Rudd – Gillard – Rudd – Abbott -Turnbull – Morrison; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_prime_ministers_of_Australia_by_time_in_office and we ended the period with Scotty from marketing who is however up against Albanese, and so is IMV despite the best efforts of the ABC / ALP / Greens ‘destined’ to win the next election.

So the ALP is looking for a new hope right now!

Trump got lucky in 2016 and won against a hated alternative who had insulted GOP supporting workers across America as ‘a basket of deplorables’. His luck has however just run out and from his own actions!

It’s only the fact that it is the looming woke madness of Harris and sleepy Joe that is now underway that could even potentially revive him.

 

The Dems… well they now have at least enough rope to hang themselves with – president sleepy, plus control of both the House and the Senate. So even though they would get a honeymoon period from most swingers and swingers are all that counts in this game, they also have the women’s vote and color card to play to hold the battleground 3 or so states that count.

But the enemy for the GOP is only theoretically the Democrats.

Trump has however by his own mistaken actions -in pushing beyond what was reasonable to end up in the 5 deaths in the Capital Hill fiasco – despite all the other issues involved buried himself past where a revival is now possible! The GOP will not after a few years struggle again unite behind him. It is split.

It’s far too soon to work out what will emerge from this mess with the GOP and the Trump rump and if that reunified effort can win in 2024 but the Obama style rubbish is going for another four year run and Joe despite all the minding by his wife and family is not going to be there in 3 years time! Harris is on the way! So the question of who will win when the fight is X v Harris is wide open -IF- Trump does not split the vote!

 

But Trump is NOW not going to win in 2024.

*************

Still no sign of sense from the ½ theorists about Syria, Erdogan, Libya, Ukraine or even Nagorno Karabakh and plenty more besides like Brexit!

The MENA notably is off the comment about list of topics and Trump is about all that’s left and there’s not much sense there either!

Covid19 comment has also been a bit silly and even the Premier of NSW makes more sense on reflection.

https://www.skynews.com.au/details/_6224016703001

And as I have pointed out this is worth a read

COVID-19: A realistic approach to community management

Biden 2

You have been warned.

Even if by a conservative sky news presenter!

As the wide eyed woke will remind us there was no president John McCain, instead there were 8 (long) years of dithering Obama. The Syrian people well remember what this dithering meant for them. The liberal media have literally shepherded the do nothing but stop Bernie candidate – Joe I’m losing my faculties fast Biden – passed all pressure and the hounding that is reserved for Trump. But ‘I lasted longest and did less’ Biden is now only a seat warmer for an even more shocking example of woke in the form of the rank opportunist Harris.

Trump upset too many people and the US masses have a short attention span, and the western world’s liberal dominated media has been on a full throttle anti-Trump crusade.  I say they have won this round and unfortunately there really is an ‘ impending return of liberal domination of US politics. I also agree that the liberals are both self-serving and fantasizing about Trump, and now are ‘even more thoroughly corrupt and disconnected from the people than ever’! Of course with NO left ALL opposition ‘will still be from the right.’ and it must also be remarked that against this deluge of liberal twaddle the rightists will be far closer to the concerns of working people.

 

But can or will a defeated Trump…’ retain leadership of a large right wing party loudly convinced that the election was stolen by the corrupt liberal elite.’? Short answer; no.

The first better question I have is why would he – a narcissist- even bother to stick with his supporters and keep a party going? Why wouldn’t he just move on as is usual for such people? What’s in it for Trump? Does anyone think that he will hang around at the top of a political party and conduct a struggle to again contest for the presidency in 4 years time? That’s a possibility of course but a very long shot possibility that I’m not currently buying. I doubt he would win such a long term quest for a second term and I think he will most probably ‘retire’ to just being Trump. There is also, most importantly, no one in the wings to anoint so the party that had really only one purpose ought to just drift and end because it lacks a raison d’etre.

Around what and who would a ‘consolidation of a far right mass based party in the USA’ take place? Pence? Quite obviously not. Trump after the election may well just be yesterday’s man going nowhere and leading nothing as is usual. This is more like his predicament especially at his age but never say never and of course he would take advantage of an opportunity if it looked like being a going concern at the time. Who can say what the world will look like in 3 years time.  I may doubt but…

Even if ‘the “stab in the back” legend has a powerful appeal on the right and we will still be stuck with a weak inept ruling class and no left wing opposition.’ my next question is so what? The republican party will have to patch itself together while the Trump party disintegrates.
I didn’t call the last US election correctly, but I have had a good record over the years for picking up on the bigger issues and so I’ll stick my neck out and stay with my earlier prediction.  It’s now less than 2 weeks out and I still predict a Trump loss in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, so Biden will win the election; and the win will be quite clear so there will be no drama at all to speak of and a ‘gracious’ hand over will take place as usual. Trump will have got his pick for the court and the Democrats will NOT stack the court in retaliation! It’s all just bluff, because in the long run that would badly damage the Democrat brand.

What I can’t possibly know and yet what my gut is telling me are that the players are assuming this win and now people can only pray and live in desperate hope that enough people can’t be that foolish as to actually vote for the ham sandwich. But that hope is utterly misplaced.

People will find they are waking up ‘free of Trump’ BUT in a woke madness with soon to be POTUS Harris wide eyed and hovering around sleepy Joe on every occasion.

Can’t see Biden lasting 2 years and Harris will be very prominent from the word go. Harris is a shocker like Obama but easily able to fool enough democrats to make that party the plaything of what are now properly considered as the global warming elite whack jobs, and they are going to deliberately destroy Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin! It will be a couple of years before the working class wakes up to the horror; but wake up to it they will.

8 long years of the look off into the distance phony Obama will probably not get a replay!

Give me a narcissistic outsider rocking the boat against this horror outcome any day. Not as clear a choice as that between McCain and Obama but nevertheless just as real. The damage that the woke democrats are about to let loose is head-shaking in its implications.

Biden’s minders have kept him out of the spotlight long enough and the gods of fate have done the rest.

So when the answer is Trump the question is horrible because without a doubt Trump is a better bet than Harris/Biden. This is not Tweedledee or Tweedledum and undoubtedly the world would be better off with Trump than Harris/Biden. The world is faced with the disaster of another term of the Obama types running the US and Harris knows Biden is suffering a worsening dementia condition and that he certainly will have to hand over to her. She is currently ‘measuring up the drapes’.

Right now the biggest threats to the world’s working class peoples’ are Putin style fascism, and ABC/BBC type woke madness. We have seen it with the issues of war and peace that Obama was so useless in dealing with and that Trump continued to be pretty hopeless with. The 2nd time round in the shape of Harris will be even worse!

A comparable period is prior to WW2 or even WW1 as all the powers mill about with regional wars pointing to the bigger issues. Just as the anti-communist aristocrat Churchill was the answer to the vicious and strategically disastrous war-making of the appeasers Trump is a better bet but….

Biden

Biden https://www.skynews.com.au/details/_6179743756001 he can ride a bike! I think that’s quite deliberate hiding in plain sight! Probably the last thing you would forget and he gets through yet another day! And then there is Trump! God and guns! Oh boy this is the leadership of the ‘free world’ no less!

PBS Newshour this week put on Dr Jill Biden with the excuse to talk about her book! NOT interviewing Joe (who is so obviously under wraps) but the wife! The softest interview imaginable! Just a cheer squad! All about how wonderful Joe is and how he is all go go go! So many plans so little time in the day!

Biden is undoubtedly suffering some cognitive issues and it’s perfectly clear that he’s unfit to be POTUS. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HVDo3BY190Q But there is also no doubt that’s perfectly clear to leading democrats so the question is why is this farce continuing? The democrats have got themselves in this mess because of a ‘we must stop Burnie Sanders’ problem. They could not demand Biden step down months ago because Bernie would have then tried to step up as the 2nd place getter. Even if he didn’t the Bernie followers would be ropeable and unpredictable to the point of perhaps wrecking democrat hopes.

So Biden had to be kept going till either just a couple of months out from the election (a real October surprise) or if he can win then perhaps just a few months after! It’s just that no one collection of party insiders have been able to control this process! The insiders of the party are horror struck that he has gone down hill this fast but he has and this is a typical case of how most stuff ups slowly develop. It was worse than they thought!

The VP is now the great hope and that’s why they are delaying this announcement! The announcement was going to be in the first week in August but it’s been put off till next week and the days tick by. With every day that passes the election is 1 day closer! It’s as simple as that. The fact that Biden is mentally unfit is just not going to stop the democrats from putting him forward nor what is more will it stop him being elected. Everything now is about delay.

Looks like it will be Harris and if it is then this is who they expect will be the Potus within months of Biden being sworn in. He is that far along now that a yr in the role seems far fetched to me even with the example of Regan to demonstrate how it actually can be done.

Biden can’t debate Trump https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HVDo3BY190Q so IMV they will find an excuse for not doing so OR perhaps only doing it once or something just as silly. They might say that Trump is just too insulting with his adverts and so on to bother to debate. Who knows.

Will Obama get Michele up as Bidens VP? No…but it must have been run through the focus group type studies. I just can’t imagine it as a serious proposal but look where the world is! So even as silly as this thought is I have to say; possibly! It’s all so unbelievable but true!

Not long now and they will have to tell who is this most important VP since Truman or even Johnson!

Who knows what will unfold but Trump policy wise is undoubtedly a better bet than the Dems and Trump is a shocker!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mp_Uuz9k7Os this guy thinks Trump will win
Or
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UHiczDwhYZk ah Corey..